Scenarioplanning - social futures

China and global capitalism

China and world labor unrest   
Silver B and Zhang L (2009) China as an emerging epicenter of world labor unrest. In: Hung H (Ed) China and the transformation of global capitalism, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 174–87.

Labor rights in the electronics industry 
Smith T, Sonnenfeld, DA and Pellow DN (Eds) 2006 Challenging the chip: Labor rights and environmental justice in the global electronics industry. Philadelphia: Temple University Press. 

China scenarios

by Jeanne Hoffman
The workshops were structured around Inayatullah’s (2008) six pillars foresight process and employed the futures triangle, causal layered analysis and creation of scenarios to create plausible futures. 
Four images were imagined: 
(1) the probable future, The King of the World or Next Superpower; 
(2) the feared future, The Hunger Games (China Threat), 
(3) the preferred future, A New Gaia; and 
(4) the alternative future, New Revolution. workshops

Inayatullah, S. (2007). Questioning the Future: Methods and Tools for Organizational and Societal Transformation. Tamsui, Taiwan: Tamkang University Press.

Inayatullah, S. (2008). Six Pillars: futures thinking for transforming. Foresight, 10(1), 4-21.

Jacques, M. (2009). When China Rules the World: the End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order. New York: Penguin Press.

Kaplan, R. D. (2011, August 15). The South China Sea is the future of conflict. Foreign Policy. ... 

Kaplan, R. D. (2012). The revenge of geography: what the map tells us about coming conflicts and the battle against fate. New York: Random House ... pdf

Pei, M. (2013, February 13). 5 Ways China Could Become a Democracy.
...  Statistical analysis shows that authoritarian regimes become progressively more unstable (and democratic transitions more likely) once income rises above $1,000 (PPP) per capita.

Sutter, R, G., Brown. M. E., Adamson, T. J. A., Mochizuki, M. M., & Ollapally, D.
(2013). Balancing Acts: The U.S. Rebalance and Asia-Pacific Stability. Washington,
D.C.: George Washington University Press.

Wang, Hung-jen. (2013). The rise of China and Chinese international relations
scholarship. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.

Wang, Y.R. (2007). Trends of change across the Taiwan Strait towards 2020. Futures,
39(1), 96-111. 

Wilson, D., and Roopa P. (2003, October 1). Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050. 
... We map out GDP growth, income per capita and currency movements in the
BRICs economies until 2050.  

The South China Sea Is the Future of Conflict 
The 21st century's defining battleground is going to be on water. ... 

"Power Shift: Australia’s Future Between Washington and Beijing"
Hugh White, professor of strategic studies at the Australian National University. 
... Will China replace the US as regional leader? If so, we will be dealing with an undemocratic and vastly more powerful nation.